Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239949 0.277268 0.319766 0.372014 0.434888 0.508571 0.602132
2025-09-14 0.178299 0.224799 0.283720 0.364992 0.475986 0.624957 0.844704
2025-09-21 0.146438 0.196484 0.265009 0.368062 0.523378 0.756042 1.145794
2025-09-28 0.124393 0.175023 0.248630 0.367185 0.560830 0.879062 1.475072
2025-10-05 0.111239 0.163038 0.242372 0.378177 0.616844 1.044584 1.937291
2025-10-12 0.100458 0.152436 0.235685 0.385989 0.667998 1.215253 2.481067
2025-10-19 0.091589 0.143271 0.229382 0.392482 0.717410 1.396847 3.133291
2025-10-26 0.085093 0.136931 0.226565 0.404260 0.779471 1.624445 4.016717
2025-11-02 0.078436 0.129329 0.220201 0.407716 0.824796 1.829898 4.964045
2025-11-09 0.072332 0.121878 0.212929 0.407774 0.862437 2.030226 6.029307
2025-11-16 0.066647 0.114483 0.204678 0.404139 0.890468 2.216208 7.184241
2025-11-23 0.061375 0.107247 0.195753 0.397373 0.909136 2.383781 8.408275
2025-11-30 0.058270 0.103893 0.194341 0.407823 0.976721 2.732172 10.737623
2025-12-07 0.053813 0.097438 0.185755 0.400039 0.993435 2.928125 12.594631
2025-12-14 0.050793 0.093529 0.182050 0.403481 1.043588 3.265695 15.626718
2025-12-21 0.047740 0.089230 0.176952 0.402503 1.080640 3.576405 18.971757
2025-12-28 0.045938 0.087337 0.176943 0.414785 1.163530 4.118319 24.835129
2026-01-04 0.044035 0.085031 0.175690 0.423519 1.238127 4.675253 32.058452
2026-01-11 0.042192 0.082666 0.174005 0.430779 1.310637 5.275489 41.276884
2026-01-18 0.040827 0.081219 0.174328 0.443958 1.410048 6.089025 55.438300
2026-01-25 0.039051 0.078681 0.171677 0.447828 1.475911 6.779819 70.939960
2026-02-01 0.037222 0.075857 0.167989 0.447893 1.527291 7.435402 89.140402
2026-02-08 0.035339 0.072749 0.163243 0.443823 1.560717 8.015008 109.433752